• IT Supply Chain Insights – June 2018

Welcome to this monthly IT Supply Chain Insights. This monthly alert will keep you up to date with market trends and IT channel news giving you the knowledge you need to save time and money buying IT.

 

Executive Summary

 

39,535

The largest number of price increases happened on May 25th to the 27th, with 39,535.

Jump to Monthly Stats
  • Smartphone shipments have fallen but sales have risen
  • Notebook shipments are in a continuous decline
  • TV panels attain growth

Yet an additional mixed month in the IT channel, which looked at a series of Q1 results and yearly predictions. Smartphone shipments decreased in Q1 and are predicted to be down YoY in 2018 but to increase in 2019. Tablets were consistent with their fall despite growth for detachable devices. PCs were also down and will keep on falling throughout the following five years, similarly to semiconductor, while DRAM incomes are predicted to break new heights and SSD appropriation with a continuous growth.

 

Exchange Rate

 

May has been an up and down month for the euro against GBP. Subsequently soaring from 0.8794 on May 1st to 0.9936 on May 5-6th the euro took a hit, falling to 0.8750 by May 9th, rising to 0.8810 on May 11th and 0.8812 by May 14th, before falling to 0.8729 by May 17th. Remaining low, the euro recuperated to some extent, ascending to 0.8772 by May 22nd before plummeting to a monthly low of 0.8718 by May 29th, only to bounce back and end the month at 0.8778.


British Pound (GBP) per 1 Euro (EUR)

It was less than good news against the USD. Beginning at 1.2029, the euro tumbled to 1.1856 by May 9th. After a minor recuperation to 1.1962 by May 14th, the coinage plummeted all the way to 1.1571 by May 29th, preceding a rapid ascent at the end of the month to 1.1680.

US Dollar (USD) per 1 Euro (EUR)

Euro (EUR) per 1 British Pound (GBP)

US Dollar (USD) per 1 British Pound (GBP)

The eurozone economy has gone rearward, with the Financial Post saying it feels like the crisis days of 2012 again on the back of Italian political turmoil and the euro slipping to a 10-month low. The Wall Street Journal on the other hand said consumer prices were up 1.9% YoY, and inflation grew to 1.1% from 0.7% in April. FXStreet noted the PMI was down in May to 55.5 from 56.2 in April.

Price Changes and News Through May 2018

 

Phones and Tablets

Worldwide smartphone shipments dropped 2.9% YoY in Q1 to 334.3m units, IDC informed, on the back of a slowing Chinese market. In spite of falling 2.4% YoY, Samsung led the market with 78.2m units shipped and 23.4% market share, followed by Apple (+2.8% to 52.2m units and 15.6% share), Huawei (+13.8% to 39.3m and 11.8%) Xiaomi (+87.8% to 28m and 8.4%) and Oppo (-7.5% to 23.9m and 7.1%).

Gartner accounted that smartphone sales to end users had a rise of 1.3% YoY in Q1 to 383.5m units, with Samsung (78.56m units and 20.5% market share), ahead of Apple, Huawei, Xiaomi and Oppo.

Based on the IDC report, the worldwide smartphone market will fall by 0.2% YoY in 2018 to 1.462bn units, but expects 2.5% soar in 2019 through to 2022 to 1.654bn units.

In tablet news, TrendForce emphasized worldwide shipments dropped by 35% in Q1 on the quarter to 31.29m units but expects 11.4% rise in Q2 on the back of demand by the education market. YoY TrendForce predictions a 1.5% increase in 2018

By vendor, Apple took top spot with 9.1m units and 29.1% market share, slightly fallen 30.8% on the quarter, followed by Samsung (-23.7% to 5.4m units), Huawei (-35.3% to 2.5m), Amazon (-56.5% to 2.4m) and Lenovo (-22.5% to 2m).  

In Western Europe, IDC said the Q1 tablet market fell 8.1% YoY to 6.6m units. Samsung led the market with despite falling 13.1% YoY to 1.89m units and 26.5% market share, followed by Apple (+3.5% to 1.54m and 21.7%), Lenovo (-8.8% to 0.55m), Huawei (+56.6% to 0.27m) and Amazon (+41.5% to 0.23m).

Worldwide slate tablet shipments will continue to decline over the next five years, IDC said, from 128m units in 2018 to 102.9m units by 2022.

Traditional PCs

According to TrendForce, worldwide notebooks shipments fell 15.7% QoQ and 1.4% YoY in Q1 to sit at 37.27m units. HP grew 4.4% YoY to hold 24.1% market share, above Lenovo (-1.6% YoY to 21.2%), Dell (+14.5% to 16.6%), Asus (-9.3% to 8.9%) and Apple (-15.1% to 7.7%).

IDC mentioned that the combined worldwide shipments of personal computing devices and tablets will drop 3.5% YoY in 2018 to 408.3m units and continue at -1.8% to 386.2m units by 2022.

Premium Ultramobiles & Wearables

Requests for detachable tablets will continue to increase with global shipments set to jump from 23.9m units in 2018 to 35m units by 2022, IDC accounted.

Meanwhile, worldwide spending on AR/VR will grow 92% YoY to $27bn in 2018 and continue to grow at 71.6% through 2022, IDC said.

Processors, MEMs, Semiconductors

Worldwide semiconductor income is expected to hit new heights in 2018, with IDC predicting 7.7% YoY growth to $450bn and continue at 2.9% to $482bn by 2022.

Memory

Mobile DRAM income reached new heights in Q1, TrendForce stated, increasing 5.3% on the quarter to $8.435bn. Taking 56.5% of market share was Samsung, with $4.766bn, up 5.2% QoQ, clsely followed by SK Hynix with $2.122bn (25.2% share) and Micron Group with $1.4bn (16%).

Based on the TrendForce report Q1 DRAM revenue grew 5.4% on the quarter to $23.076bn, with Samsung (46%), SK Hynix (28.7%) and Micron Group (20.8%) claiming the top three spots.

Worldwide NAND flash revenue fell 3% QoQ in Q1 and is expected to keep falling in Q2 on the back of oversupply. Based on the TrendForce report, Samsung took home the most revenue with $5.824bn, down -5.6% QoQ, ahead of Toshiba, WDC, Micron and SK Hynix.

Storage

Enterprise SSD shipments are expected to reach 30m units in 2018, up from under 20m in 2016 at a bit shipment growth of over 50% per year, TrendForce reported. Oversupply in Q2 is expected to see contract prices fall 10% on Q1.

TrendForce said oversupply of NAND flash has led to a fall in SSD prices, which has soared demand and will help SSD adoption in notebooks exceed 50% by the end of the year.

Displays

Worldwide large display panel shipments were up by 6%, respectively 10% by area YoY in Q1, yet were down 4% and 7%, on the quarter. As indicated by the IHS, these results were superior to the expected outcome, which likewise saw LG lead the market for shipments by region (22%), and BOE lead the market by unit shipments (22%).

In another report, IHS said Q1 global TV shipments grew 7.9% YoY to 50.6m units, with LCD enjoying 7.5% YoY increase to 50.1m and OLED up 115.8% to 0.47m units.

TrendForce said LCD panel prices are falling and will continue to do so, with 65”+ panels to drop 14%.

Printers

In W.Europe in Q1 with the multifunction printer the shipments falling slightly by 1.6% YoY to 4.9 million units, IDC accounted. UK has experienced a fall of 1.6% YoY, to 0.805 million united

Worldwide printer shipments have seen a growth of 1.7% Year-on-Year to 23.79 million, registering its 6th quarterly YoY growth. Based on the IDC report, HP was leading the market with 9.733 million unites and 40.9% of whole market, followed by Canon (on 4.44 million and 18.7%), closely followed by Epson ( 4.39 million and 18.5%), Brother (1.78m and 7.5%) and Kyocera (0.546m and 2.3%).

Monthly Stats

New products started at 328, dropped to 5 by May 3 and 0 by May 8, jumped to 38 but fell again, hit 1,642 on May 15 and a high of 7,680 on May 17, only to fall to 13 on May 18-20, down to 8 by May 25-27 and 0 by May 29 before ending the month down at 4.

Cisco beat price increments while Zebra Technologies topped price decreases by manufacturer.

Price increments per day started at 74,878, tumbled to 32.475 on May 2nd and 4,997 by May 3rd, and soared to 30,148 on May 4-6th preceding hitting a low of 329 by May 11-13th. A hop to 25,883 on May 14th was trailed by a progression of developments, sitting at 14,238 on May 18-20Th, dropping to 2,707 on May 23rd, rising to 39,535 on May 25-27th and hitting 907 by May 30th just to skip back and complete the month at 27,239.

The entire value that diminished every day highlights starting at 8,162 and rising to 9,631 on May 2nd before falling to 658 on May 3rd, hitting a low of 433 on May 8th preceding a bounce to a month on month high of 25,309 on Mya 10th. Comparable developments followed, until finishing the month with a soar from 4,493 on May 29th to 9,155 on May 30th and 15,673 on May 31st.

Stock up highlights included starting at 3,515, jumping to 7,311, falling to 1,043 and then sitting at 5,361 from May 4-6, dropping to a low of 475 on May 11-13, hitting a high of 52,718 on May 15, holding steady at 8,050 on May 18-20 and ending the month at 7,646.

Stock down dropped from a high of 39,608 on May 1 to 2,873 by May 3, hit a low of 1,488 on May 11-13, rebounded, held steady, fell and ended the month at 17,037.

New Products May 2018

Prices and Stock Movements May 2018

 

 


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